CIRCUIT is a predictive switchboard. It routes a live dispatch network, forecasts wait times and surge prices, and runs a reputation market where the crowd and a machine-learning model compete — then it folds the crowd's wisdom back into the model. Every piece is a real, running mechanism.
1
The ML model forecasts. A model trained online (it updates its own weights every single round) predicts each zone's wait + surge from demand, supply, time of day, weather and events. Watch its error fall on the learning curve.
2
The crowd forecasts too. You and 11 bot forecasters (each with a style — Momentum, Contrarian, Insider…) place predictions. A reputation-weighted average becomes the "crowd call" — sharper forecasters count more.
3
Reputation rewards accuracy. When the truth lands, everyone is scored. Beat your peers → reputation up, tier up, bigger payouts. Miss → you fade. No one can be perfect: real outcomes carry noise.
4
Feedback makes the model smarter. The reputation-weighted crowd call is injected as a second training signal. Toggle it below and watch the model's accuracy genuinely change — that's the core idea, live.
5
Incentives adapt. The system pays bigger bonuses for forecasts in zones where it's most uncertain (active learning) — it literally pays to be told what it doesn't know. Those zones get a ★.
6
The switchboard optimizes. Using the blended forecast, it reroutes drivers toward predicted hotspots before the surge hits — cutting waits. Inject an event and watch it spike, then recover.
Try the core experiment
Crowd feedback → modelWhen ON, the crowd's wisdom trains the model. Turn it OFF and the learning curve gets visibly worse.
Adaptive incentivesWhen ON, payouts steer toward high-uncertainty zones (active learning).
Honest note
The dispatch network is a simulation, not live ride-share data — but the machine learning is real: it's an online-trained model whose error you can watch drop, and the crowd-feedback loop measurably changes that error. Think of it as a working model of the idea, not a production pricing engine. Prices here are simulated and are not real pricing or financial advice.